The 1960s were a time of some uncertainty
for the Soviet Union and the WPO nations. The Soviet leadership that replaced
Khrushchev in 1964 was still uncertain how best to reply to hostility from both
the west and from the PRC. Intellectual and nationalist dissenters were a
growing source of irritation. WPO unity was under strain as Romania became
increasingly uncooperative. This itself was hardly a major military loss, but
if others followed this example it would be serious.
The developing crisis in Czechoslovakia
therefore was observed in Moscow with uncertainty and hesitation.
Czechoslovakia was the only WPO nation with a strong popular democratic
tradition. Economic stagnation and Slovak demands for an answer to their
long-standing claims to autonomy, therefore, aroused a widespread demand for
political reforms. By 1967 these demands were openly being articulated by
intellectuals and students. But there were plenty of members of the Communist
Party of Czechoslovakia (CPCz) who totally agreed.
Even Moscow agreed that some change was
necessary. The CPCz leader, Antonín Novotny´, was an unreformed Stalinist,
whose over-centralised regime was widely blamed for economic problems by
Czechoslovakians and by Moscow alike. Thus the Soviet Union did not demure when
the CPCz ousted Novotny´ in January 1968 and replaced him with Alexander Dubček, who was seen as a loyal Communist. Dubček embarked on a
programme of reforms, which soon caused anxiety to Soviet and other WPO
regimes.
As the reform movement progressed, under
the slogan ‘Socialism with a human face’, these anxieties multiplied. Dubček
never intended to threaten Soviet security and never considered leaving the
WPO. Nor did he intend to allow the CPCz to lose control of Czechoslovakia. He
did, however, want to reinvigorate the economy through improved trade relations
with the west. To the horror of East Germany he spoke of normalising relations
with West Germany. This would question the legitimacy of East Germany as a
state. Also Dubček strongly believed that continued CPCz control was consistent
with a degree of political liberalisation. Perhaps turning the National
Assembly from a rubber stamp to a genuine legislature, where some opposition
was permitted, would make CPCz rule more responsive to popular concerns.
Under Dubček, therefore, censorship was
ended. Political reform became the central issue of public debate. Demands for
reform, previously suppressed, were now tacitly encouraged. This had an impact
beyond Czechoslovakia’s frontiers. Everywhere in the Communist world,
intellectual and nationalist dissidents were encouraged. In March 1968 in
Poland, public demonstrations, demanding similar reforms, ended in rioting. The
Polish Communist Party was deeply divided when a reform movement emerged in its
own ranks. In Czechoslovakia, ethnic Ukrainians began to agitate for the recognition
of their national rights. Moscow was appalled – if this encouraged nationalists
in Ukraine, the USSR might be plunged into a serious internal crisis.
A series of high-level government meetings
were held to pressurise Dubček’s government into conforming. The tragedy for
Czechoslovakia was that Dubček simply did not understand how serious the
warnings he received were. In July he was summoned to a summit of WPO leaders
gathered expressly to discipline him. He left mistakenly assuming that the
assurances he offered satisfied his audience. Perhaps the hesitation of the
Kremlin convinced him they intended to take no action.
He was wrong. The debate in the Kremlin was
not whether to intervene or not, it was whether to intervene immediately, or to
give him more time, in the hope that he would see reason. The more those hopes
were frustrated, the more forceful the argument for immediate action became. Dubček
blithely proceeded with reforms. He authorised a special Party Congress to remove
his remaining opponents in the Presidium – the CPCz’s executive body. This was
very much the last straw. The Kremlin decided Dubček must suppress the reform
movement and agree to Soviet troops permanently stationed in Czechoslovakia or
be removed. When increasingly threatening signals were ignored, an invasion was
prepared.
Soviet concerns were greatly eased when
neighbouring WPO governments unanimously agreed with the plans. President
Johnson, distracted by Vietnam and hoping to restart détente, showed no
interest in Czechoslovakia. Though surprised and angered by the invasion, there
was no real danger of US reprisals.
The invasion, when it came on 20 August
1968, was an enormous military success. Paratroopers seized the airports and
tanks and troops poured across four frontiers. Cities were occupied and the
communications network quickly under control. The Czech army had never
contemplated resistance. Politically it was chaotic. The remaining
anti-reformers in the Presidium proved too weak to form an alternative
government. The National Assembly and President were defiant. Civil resistance,
including the self-immolation of a Prague student, Jan Palach, paralysed the
state. The USSR was forced to reinstate Dubček, though only temporarily and he
was unable to save his reforms. Despite this, Soviet control of east Europe was
re-affirmed and the limits of reform clearly spelled out.
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